Incident Overview

 

Risk Factors Identified: Using our Bayesian risk model, we have analyzed key contributing factors:

 

Electrical Malfunction → Sparks ignited flammable insulation materials.

 

Delayed Fire Detection → The crew was unaware of the fire’s severity until it was too late.

 

Communication Gaps → Coordination issues delayed emergency actions.

Limited Mitigation Options → Insufficient onboard fire suppression measures.

 

Material Flammability → Cabin and insulation materials did not meet modern fire resistance standards.

 

Flight Crew Workload → High cognitive load in emergency conditions reduced decision-making efficiency.

Risk Assessment & Mitigation Strategies

Probabilistic Risk Evaluation: Our model assesses how different failure points interact, predicting likelihoods and impacts.

Proposed Safety Enhancements: Improved fire-resistant materials, enhanced real-time monitoring, and standardized emergency protocols.

Explore the full risk model and sensitivity analysis in our interactive tool, click the button on the right!